StatSheet Projects Mercer as NCAA Tournament Bubble Team 17 Seed: 02/25/2013

Filed under StatSeed Update on February 25th, 2013
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StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.

StatSheet projects Mercer to be a 17 seed in the NCAA Tournament. The Bears are, at this point, on track for an automatic bid, and they will need to win their conference tournament as they're sitting at #138 in the StatSheet StatRank. They have a 20-9 overall record and a 13-3 record in the Atlantic Sun.

During the last four games, Mercer helped itself with wins against Northern Kentucky, Lipscomb, East Tennessee State, and USC Upstate.

Mercer has little experience against top competition, with a 2-2 record against the RPI Top 100 but an 0-1 record against the RPI Top 50 and AP Top 25. While the Bears have no quality wins, they're hampered by seven bad losses including RPI #281 Northern Kentucky, RPI #256 Jacksonville, RPI #342 Kennesaw State, RPI #120 Georgia, and RPI #141 Wake Forest.

The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Baylor (16-11, 7-7 Big 12, StatRank #61), Temple (19-8, 8-5 A-10, StatRank #41), La Salle (19-7, 9-4 A-10, StatRank #39), and Southern Miss (21-7, 10-3 C-USA, StatRank #36).

The first four teams out are Alabama (18-9, 10-4 SEC, StatRank #63), St. John's (16-11, 8-7 Big East, StatRank #69), Saint Mary's (24-5, 12-2 West Coast, StatRank #47), and Stanford (16-12, 7-8 Pac 12, StatRank #77).

The next four out are Arkansas (17-10, 8-6 SEC, StatRank #73), Boise State (18-8, 6-6 Mountain West, StatRank #45), Maryland (19-8, 7-7 ACC, StatRank #67), and Virginia (19-8, 9-5 ACC, StatRank #75).

Regional 1
#1Duke
#2Gonzaga
#3Arizona
#4Kansas State
#5New Mexico
#6UNLV
#7Butler
#8Colorado State
#9Belmont
#10Cincinnati
#11Iowa State
#12La Salle
#13Akron
#14Bucknell
#15Davidson
#16Long Beach State
#17CSU
Regional 2
#1Florida
#2Kansas
#3Georgetown
#4Marquette
#5Ohio State
#6North Carolina
#7Colorado
#8Illinois
#9California
#10Kentucky
#11MTSU
#12Ole Miss
#13Baylor
#14Harvard
#15Montana
#16Niagara
#17Mercer
Regional 3
#1Indiana
#2Michigan
#3Louisville
#4Minnesota
#5Oklahoma
#6NC State
#7Notre Dame
#8Memphis
#9UCLA
#10San Diego State
#11Saint Louis
#12Southern Miss
#13Louisiana Tech
#14Stephen F. Austin
#15SDSU
#16Northeastern
#17Norfolk State
Regional 4
#1Miami (FL)
#2Michigan State
#3Syracuse
#4Oklahoma State
#5Wisconsin
#6Pittsburgh
#7Oregon
#8Missouri
#9VCU
#10Villanova
#11Wichita State
#12Tennessee
#13Temple
#14Valparaiso
#15Stony Brook
#16Robert Morris
#17SOU

NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference


Conf
NCAA
Teams
Conf
Teams
Pct in
NCAA
Big East8 1650.0%
Big Ten7 1258.3%
Big 126 1060.0%
Pac 125 1241.7%
A-105 1435.7%
SEC5 1241.7%
ACC4 1233.3%
Mountain West4 850.0%
C-USA2 1216.7%
Big West1 911.1%
Big South1 119.1%
Patriot1 812.5%
West Coast1 911.1%
Ivy League1 812.5%
Ohio Valley1 119.1%
SoCon1 128.3%
WAC1 812.5%
MAC1 128.3%
Atlantic Sun1 1010.0%
Sun Belt1 128.3%
Big Sky1 911.1%
MAAC1 1010.0%
MEAC1 137.7%
CAA1 128.3%
NEC1 128.3%
Summit League1 1010.0%
SWAC1 1010.0%
Southland1 128.3%
America East1 911.1%
Horizon1 1010.0%
Missouri Valley1 1010.0%

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Season Preview: Mercer should not be significantly better or worse than last year. Read our Season Preview
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Atlantic Sun Standings

OverallConf
 1Mercer 27-9 14-4
1 FGCU 22-13 14-4
3 USC Upstate 19-15 11-7
4 ETSU 19-16 10-8
4 North Florida 16-16 10-8
4 Lipscomb 15-15 10-8
7 Jacksonville 12-18 8-10
8 NoKY 9-21 5-13
8 Stetson 7-24 5-13
10 Kennesaw State 6-25 3-15
Last updated: Apr 10th, 2014

2013-2014 Roster

#32 James Bento Fr F 6-6 195
#11 D.J. Brooks Fr G 6-1 180
#25 Lawrence Brown So G 6-5 210
#45 Monty Brown Sr C 6-11 250
#34 Jibri Bryan So G 6-3 180
#3 Kevin Canevari Sr G 5-11 165
#52 Daniel Coursey Sr F 6-10 220
#20 Jakob Gollon Sr F 6-6 200
#21 Langston Hall Sr G 6-4 180
#14 T.J. Hallice Jr F 6-9 205
#1 Phillip Leonard So G 6-2 200
#12 John Mosser Fr G 6-4 210
#22 Darious Moten Jr F 6-6 195
#10 Ike Nwamu So G 6-5 205
#2 Matt Panaggio Fr G 6-3 185
#5 Bud Thomas Sr F 6-6 200
#15 A. White Jr. Sr G 6-2 170